Correction: Identifying areas of Australia with high out-of-hospital cardiac arrest incidence and low bystander cardiopulmonary resuscitation rates: A retrospective, observational study.

[This corrects the article DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0301176.].

Identifying areas of Australia with high out-of-hospital cardiac arrest incidence and low bystander cardiopulmonary resuscitation rates: A retrospective, observational study.

AIM: This study aims to explore regional variation and identify regions within Australia with high incidence of out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) and low rates of bystander cardiopulmonary resuscitation (CPR). METHOD: Adult OHCAs of presumed medical aetiology occurring across Australia between 2017 and 2019 were mapped onto local government areas (LGA) using the location of arrest coordinates. Bayesian spatial models were applied to provide "smoothed" estimates of OHCA incidence and bystander CPR rates (for bystander-witnessed OHCAs) for each LGA. For each state and territory, high-risk LGAs were defined as those with an incidence rate greater than the state or territory's 75th percentile and a bystander CPR rate less than the state or territory's 25th percentile. RESULTS: A total of 62,579 OHCA cases attended by emergency medical services across 543 LGAs nationwide were included in the study. Nationally, the OHCA incidence rate across LGA ranged from 58.5 to 198.3 persons per 100,000, while bystander CPR rates ranged from 45% to 75%. We identified 60 high-risk LGAs, which were predominantly located in the state of New South Wales. Within each region, high-risk LGAs were typically located in regional and remote areas of the country, except for four metropolitan areas-two in Adelaide and two in Perth. CONCLUSIONS: We have identified high-risk LGAs, characterised by high incidence and low bystander CPR rates, which are predominantly in regional and remote areas of Australia. Strategies for reducing OHCA and improving bystander response may be best targeted at these regions.

The development of a risk-adjustment strategy to benchmark emergency medical service (EMS) performance in relation to out-of-hospital cardiac arrest in Australia and New Zealand.

INTRODUCTION: The aim of this study was to develop a risk adjustment strategy, including effect modifiers, for benchmarking emergency medical service (EMS) performance for out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) in Australia and New Zealand. METHOD: Using 2017-2019 data from the Australasian Resuscitation Outcomes Consortium (Aus-ROC) OHCA Epistry, we included adults who received an EMS attempted resuscitation for a presumed medical OHCA. Logistic regression was applied to develop risk adjustment models for event survival (return of spontaneous circulation at hospital handover) and survival to hospital discharge/30 days. We examined potential effect modifiers, and assessed model discrimination and validity. RESULTS: Both OHCA survival outcome models included EMS agency and the Utstein variables (age, sex, location of arrest, witnessed arrest, initial rhythm, bystander cardiopulmonary resuscitation, defibrillation prior to EMS arrival, and EMS response time). The model for event survival had good discrimination according to the concordance statistic (0.77) and explained 28% of the variation in survival. The corresponding figures for survival to hospital discharge/30 days were 0.87 and 49%. The addition of effect modifiers did little to improve the performance of either model. CONCLUSION: The development of risk adjustment models with good discrimination is an important step in benchmarking EMS performance for OHCA. The Utstein variables are important in risk-adjustment, but only explain a small proportion of the variation in survival. Further research is required to understand what factors contribute to the variation in survival between EMS.

Late Outcomes of Patients With Prehospital ST-Segment Elevation and Appropriate Cardiac Catheterization Laboratory Nonactivation.

Background Patients with suspected ST-segment-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) and cardiac catheterization laboratory nonactivation (CCL-NA) or cancellation have reportedly similar crude and higher adjusted risks of death compared with those with CCL activation, though reasons for these poor outcomes are not clear. We determined late clinical outcomes among patients with prehospital ECG STEMI criteria who had CCL-NA compared with those who had CCL activation. Methods and Results We identified consecutive prehospital ECG transmissions between June 2, 2010 to October 6, 2016. Diagnoses according to the Fourth Universal Definition of myocardial infarction (MI), particularly rates of myocardial injury, were adjudicated. The primary outcome was all-cause death. Secondary outcomes included cardiovascular death/MI/stroke and noncardiovascular death. To explore competing risks, cause-specific hazard ratios (HRs) were obtained. Among 1033 included ECG transmissions, there were 569 (55%) CCL activations and 464 (45%) CCL-NAs (1.8% were inappropriate CCL-NAs). In the CCL activation group, adjudicated index diagnoses included MI (n=534, 94%, of which 99.6% were STEMI and 0.4% non-STEMI), acute myocardial injury (n=15, 2.6%), and chronic myocardial injury (n=6, 1.1%). In the CCL-NA group, diagnoses included MI (n=173, 37%, of which 61% were non-STEMI and 39% STEMI), chronic myocardial injury (n=107, 23%), and acute myocardial injury (n=47, 10%). At 2 years, the risk of all-cause death was higher in patients who had CCL-NA compared with CCL activation (23% versus 7.9%, adjusted risk ratio, 1.58, 95% CI, 1.24-2.00), primarily because of an excess in noncardiovascular deaths (adjusted HR, 3.56, 95% CI, 2.07-6.13). There was no significant difference in the adjusted risk for cardiovascular death/MI/stroke between the 2 groups (HR, 1.23, 95% CI, 0.87-1.73). Conclusions CCL-NA was not primarily attributable to missed STEMI, but attributable to "masquerading" with high rates of non-STEMI and myocardial injury. These patients had worse late outcomes than patients who had CCL activation, mainly because of higher rates of noncardiovascular deaths.

The epidemiology of out-of-hospital cardiac arrest in Australia and New Zealand: A binational report from the Australasian Resuscitation Outcomes Consortium (Aus-ROC).

INTRODUCTION: The Australasian Resuscitation Outcomes Consortium (Aus-ROC) out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) Epistry (Epidemiological Registry) now covers 100% of Australia and New Zealand (NZ). This study reports and compares the Utstein demographics, arrest characteristics and outcomes of OHCA patients across our region. METHODS: We included all OHCA cases throughout 2019 as submitted to the Epistry by the eight Australian and two NZ emergency medical services (EMS). We calculated crude and age-standardised incidence rates and performed a national and EMS regional comparison. RESULTS: We obtained data for 31,778 OHCA cases for 2019: 26,637 in Australia and 5,141 in NZ. Crude incidence was 107.9 per 100,000 person-years in Australia and 103.2/100,000 in NZ. Overall, the majority of OHCAs occurred in adults (96%), males (66%), private residences (76%), were unwitnessed (63%), of presumed medical aetiology (83%), and had an initial monitored rhythm of asystole (64%). In non-EMS-witnessed cases, 38% received bystander CPR and 2% received public defibrillation. Wide variation was seen between EMS regions for all OHCA demographics, arrest characteristics and outcomes. In patients who received an EMS-attempted resuscitation (13,664/31,778): 28% (range across EMS = 13.1% to 36.7%) had return of spontaneous circulation (ROSC) at hospital arrival and 13% (range across EMS = 9.9% to 20.7%) survived to hospital discharge/30-days. Survival in the Utstein comparator group (bystander-witnessed in shockable rhythm) varied across the EMS regions between 27.4% to 42.0%. CONCLUSION: OHCA across Australia and NZ has varied incidence, characteristics and survival. Understanding the variation in survival and modifiable predictors is key to informing strategies to improve outcomes.

Rural and Remote Cardiology During the COVID-19 Pandemic: Cardiac Society of Australia and New Zealand (CSANZ) Consensus Statement.

THE CHALLENGES: Rural and remote Australians and New Zealanders have a higher rate of adverse outcomes due to acute myocardial infarction, driven by many factors. The prevalence of cardiovascular disease (CVD) is also higher in regional and remote populations, and people with known CVD have increased morbidity and mortality from coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). In addition, COVID-19 is associated with serious cardiac manifestations, potentially placing additional demand on limited regional services at a time of diminished visiting metropolitan support with restricted travel. Inter-hospital transfer is currently challenging as receiving centres enact pandemic protocols, creating potential delays, and cardiovascular resources are diverted to increasing intensive care unit (ICU) and emergency department (ED) capacity. Regional and rural centres have limited staff resources, placing cardiac services at risk in the event of staff infection or quarantine during the pandemic. MAIN RECOMMENDATIONS: Health districts, cardiologists and government agencies need to minimise impacts on the already vulnerable cardiovascular health of regional and remote Australians and New Zealanders throughout the COVID-19 pandemic. Changes in management should include.

Cardiac procedures in ST-segment-elevation myocardial infarction - the influence of age, geography and Aboriginality.

BACKGROUND: Timely restoration of bloodflow acute ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) reduces myocardial damage and improves prognosis. The objective of this study was describe the association of demographic factors with hospitalisation rates for STEMI and time to angiography, Percutaneous Coronary Intervention (PCI) and Coronary Artery Bypass Graft (CABG) in New South Wales (NSW) and the Australian Capital Territory (ACT), Australia. METHODS: This was an observational cohort study using linked population health data. We used linked records of NSW and the ACT hospitalisations and the Australian Government Medicare Benefits Schedule (MBS) for persons aged 35 and over hospitalised with STEMI in the period 1 July 2010 to 30 June 2014. Survival analysis was used to determine the time between STEMI admission and angiography, PCI and CABG, with a competing risk of death without cardiac procedure. RESULTS: Of 13,117 STEMI hospitalisations, 71% were among males; 55% were 65-plus years; 64% lived in major cities, and 2.6% were Aboriginal people. STEMI hospitalisation occurred at a younger age in males than females. Angiography and PCI rates decreased with age: angiography 69% vs 42% and PCI 60% vs 34% on day 0 for ages 35-44 and 75-plus respectively. Lower angiography and PCI rates and higher CABG rates were observed outside major cities. Aboriginal people with STEMI were younger and more likely to live outside a major city. Angiography, PCI and CABG rates were similar for Aboriginal and non-Aboriginal people of the same age and remoteness area. CONCLUSIONS: There is a need to improve access to definitive revascularisation for STEMI among appropriately selected older patients and in regional areas. Aboriginal people with STEMI, as a population, are disproportionately affected by access to definitive revascularisation outside major cities. Improving access to timely definitive revascularisation in regional areas may assist in closing the gap in cardiovascular outcomes between Aboriginal and non-Aboriginal people.

Pre-hospital thrombolysis for ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction in regional Australia: long-term follow up.

BACKGROUND: Delivering reperfusion therapy to patients with ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) in regional areas without access to tertiary cardiology care remains challenging. The systems of care in Hunter New England Health, New South Wales, Australia (area covered = 130 000 km2 ) to provide reperfusion to patients with STEMI involve a 12-lead electrocardiogram in the ambulance, discussion between cardiologist and paramedic, followed by pre-hospital thrombolysis (PHT) delivered in ambulance to appropriate patients >60 min from the cardiac catheterisation laboratories. Patients who can access the cardiac catheterisation laboratories within 60 min are treated with primary percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI). AIMS: We have previously reported excellent 12-month outcomes for patients receiving PHT and the aim of the current analysis is to look at the long term outcomes. METHODS: We assessed long-term all-cause mortality and major adverse cardiovascular events of STEMI patients undergoing PHT in our health district from August 2008 to August 2013 and compared with the primary PCI group. RESULTS: One hundred and fifty (mean age: 62 ± 13 years, males: 76%, n = 114) patients were administered PHT and 334 patients (mean age: 65 ± 13 years, males: 75%, n = 251) underwent primary PCI during the study period. During a median follow up of 6.2 years (interquartile range: 4.8-7.4 years) all-cause mortality was 16% and 19% in the PHT and primary PCI groups respectively (P = 0.4). CONCLUSION: Our real-world experience shows that PHT followed by early transfer to a primary PCI-capable centre is an effective reperfusion strategy, with comparable results to primary PCI, and mortality benefits are sustained to more than 6 years.

Missed Acute Myocardial Infarction (MAMI) in a rural and regional setting.

BACKGROUND: Delay in treatment and/or failure to provide reperfusion in ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) impacts on morbidity and mortality. This occurs more often outside metropolitan areas yet the reasons for this are unclear. This study aimed to describe factors associated with missed diagnosis of acute myocardial infarction (MAMI) in a rural and regional setting. METHODS: Using a retrospective cohort design, patients who presented with STEMI and failed to receive reperfusion therapy within four hours were identified as MAMI. Univariate analyses were undertaken to identify differences in clinical characteristics between the treated STEMI group and the MAMI group. Mortality, 30-day readmission rates and length of hospital stay are reported. RESULTS: Of 100 patients identified as MAMI (70 male, 30 female), 24 died in hospital. Demographics and time from symptom onset were similar in the treated STEMI and MAMI groups. Of the MAMI patients who died, rural hospitals recorded the highest inpatient mortality (69.6% p = 0.008). MAMI patients compared to treated STEMI patients had higher 30 day readmission (31.6% vs 3.3%, p = 0.001) and longer length of stay (5.5 vs 4.3 days p = 0.029). Inaccurate identification of STEMI on electrocardiogram (72%) and diagnostic uncertainty (65%) were associated with MAMI. The Glasgow algorithm to identify STEMI was utilised on 57% of occasions, with 93% accuracy. CONCLUSION: Mortality following MAMI is high particularly in smaller rural hospitals. MAMI results in increased length of stay and readmission rate. Electrocardiogram interpretation and diagnostic accuracy require improvement to determine if this improves patient outcomes.

The Mental Health Acute Assessment Team: a collaborative approach to treating mental health patients in the community.

OBJECTIVE: Many models of community-based mental health crisis teams have been reported. We present our experience of an outreach team made up of a paramedic and mental health nurse. METHODS: A proof-of-concept was conducted in Western Sydney. The primary outcome was the proportion of patients where the team were able to facilitate the most appropriate care. RESULTS: Nearly 70% of patients were able to be treated outside the Emergency Department, with about two-thirds being transported directly to a mental health facility. CONCLUSION: We have demonstrated that our model of care is successful in enabling appropriate physical and mental health care for patients suffering an acute mental health crisis.

Pre-hospital thrombolysis in ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction: a regional Australian experience.

OBJECTIVE: The system of care in the Hunter New England Local Health District for patients with ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) foresees pre-hospital thrombolysis (PHT) administered by paramedics to patients more than 60 minutes from the cardiac catheterisation laboratory (CCL), and primary percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) at the CCL for others. We assessed the safety and effectiveness of the pre-hospital diagnosis strategy, which allocates patients to PHT or primary PCI according to travel time to the CCL. DESIGN, SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS: Prospective, non-randomised, consecutive, single-centre case series of STEMI patients diagnosed on the basis of a pre-hospital electrocardiogram (ECG), from August 2008 to August 2013. All patients were treated at the tertiary referral hospital (John Hunter Hospital, Newcastle). MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: The primary efficacy endpoint was all-cause mortality at 12 months; the primary safety endpoint was bleeding. RESULTS: STEMI was diagnosed in 484 patients on the basis of pre-hospital ECG; 150 were administered PHT and 334 underwent primary PCI. The median time from first medical contact (FMC) to PHT was 35 minutes (IQR, 28-43 min) and to balloon inflation 130 minutes (IQR, 100-150 min). In the PHT group, 37 patients (27%) needed rescue PCI (median time, 4 h; IQR, 3-5 h). The 12-month all-cause mortality rate was 7.0% (PHT, 6.7%; PCI, 7.2%). The incidence of major bleeding (TIMI criteria) in the PHT group was 1.3%; no patients in the primary PCI group experienced major bleeding. CONCLUSION: PHT can be delivered safely by paramedical staff in regional and rural Australia with good clinical outcomes.

Biphasic versus monophasic waveforms for transthoracic defibrillation in out-of-hospital cardiac arrest.

BACKGROUND: Transthoracic defibrillation is a potentially life-saving treatment for people with ventricular fibrillation (VF) and haemodynamically unstable ventricular tachycardia (VT). In recent years, biphasic waveforms have become more commonly used for defibrillation than monophasic waveforms. Clinical trials of internal defibrillation and transthoracic defibrillation of short-duration arrhythmias of up to 30 seconds have demonstrated the superiority of biphasic waveforms over monophasic waveforms. However, out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) involves a duration of VF/VT of several minutes before defibrillation is attempted. OBJECTIVES: To determine the efficacy and safety of biphasic defibrillation waveforms, compared to monophasic, for resuscitation of people experiencing out-of-hospital cardiac arrest. SEARCH METHODS: We searched the following electronic databases for potentially relevant studies up to 10 September 2014: the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials (CENTRAL), MEDLINE and EMBASE. Also we checked the bibliographies of relevant studies and review articles, contacted authors of published reviews and reviewed webpages (including those of device manufacturers) relevant to the review topic. We handsearched the abstracts of conference proceedings for the American Heart Association, American College of Cardiology, European Society of Cardiology, European Resuscitation Council, Society of Critical Care Medicine and European Society of Intensive Care Medicine. Regarding language restrictions, we did not apply any. SELECTION CRITERIA: We included randomised controlled trials (RCTs) that compared biphasic and monophasic waveform defibrillation in adults with OHCA. Two review authors independently screened the literature search results. DATA COLLECTION AND ANALYSIS: Two review authors independently extracted data from the included trials and performed 'Risk of bias' assessments. We resolved any disagreements by discussion and consensus. The primary outcome was the risk of failure to achieve return of spontaneous circulation (ROSC). Secondary outcomes included risk of failure to revert VF to an organised rhythm following the first shock or up to three shocks, survival to hospital admission and survival to discharge. MAIN RESULTS: We included four trials (552 participants) that compared biphasic and monophasic waveform defibrillation in people with OHCA. Based on the assessment of five quality domains, we identified two trials that were at high risk of bias, one trial at unclear risk of bias and one trial at low risk of bias. The risk ratio (RR) for failure to achieve ROSC after biphasic compared to monophasic waveform defibrillation was 0.86 (95% CI 0.62 to 1.20; four trials, 552 participants). The RR for failure to defibrillate on the first shock following biphasic defibrillation compared to monophasic was 0.84 (95% CI 0.70 to 1.01; three trials, 450 participants); and 0.81 (95% CI 0.61 to 1.09; two trials, 317 participants) for one to three stacked shocks. The RR for failure to achieve ROSC after the first shock was 0.92 (95% CI 0.81 to 1.04; two trials, 285 participants). Biphasic waveforms did not reduce the risk of death before hospital admission (RR 1.05, 95% CI 0.90 to 1.23; three trials, 383 participants) or before hospital discharge (RR 1.05, 95% CI 0.78 to 1.42; four trials, 550 participants). There was no statistically significant heterogeneity in any of the pooled analyses. None of the included trials reported adverse events. AUTHORS' CONCLUSIONS: It is uncertain whether biphasic defibrillators have an important effect on defibrillation success in people with OHCA. Further large studies are needed to provide adequate statistical power.

Permanent pacing for late-onset atrioventricular block in patients with heart transplantation: a single center experience.

INTRODUCTION: The incidence, mechanisms, clinical associations, and outcomes in patients with late-onset (>3 months) atrioventricular (AV) block following heart transplantation are not well known. This study will characterize late-onset AV block following cardiac transplantation. METHODS: We retrospectively reviewed our databases to identify patients who required pacemakers for late-onset AV block postheart and heart-lung transplantation from January 1990 to December 2007. Orthotopic heart and heart-lung transplantation were separately analyzed. RESULTS: This study included 588 adults who received cardiac transplants over a 17-year period at our center (519 orthotopic, 64 heart-lung transplants, and five heterotopic heart transplants). Of the 519 patients with orthotopic heart transplant, 39 required pacing (7.5%), 17 (3.3%) within 3 months posttransplant, 11 (2.1%) for late-onset sinus node dysfunction (SND), 11 (2.1%) for late-onset AV block. Also, five patients (7.8%) out of 64 heart-lung transplants required pacemakers, two (3.1%) for late-onset SND, three (4.7%) for late-onset AV block. None of the five patients who underwent heterotopic transplant required cardiac pacing prior to or posttransplant. CONCLUSIONS: Late-onset AV block occurs in 2.4% of patients with orthotopic heart transplant or heart-lung transplant. AV block is predominantly intermittent and, often, does not progress to permanent AV block. There are no predictable factors for its onset.

Exercise training in patients with stable chronic heart failure: effects on thoracic impedance cardiography and B-type natriuretic peptide.

PURPOSE: Recent evidence has suggested that patients with stable chronic heart failure (CHF) may respond favorably to a progressive exercise program. The use of noninvasive hemodynamic monitoring and B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP) measurement in these patients is not well reported. This study investigated the utility of noninvasive hemodynamic monitoring and point-of-care BNP in a cardiac rehabilitation outpatient setting. METHODS: Patients with stable CHF were assigned to a supervised 12-week exercise program (n = 13) or control (n = 6). At baseline and at the end of the study period, patients were assessed for functional and quality-of-life status. Point-of-care BNP and noninvasive hemodynamic parameters were also obtained. RESULTS: As expected, patients assigned to the exercise group showed significant improvement in quality of life and distance covered by the 6-minute walk test, but control subjects showed no such changes. There was a trend toward improved BNP in the exercise group, with 73% of these patients showing a decrease in comparison with 67% of controls showing an increase. There was a significant improvement in stroke volume in the exercise group but not in the control group. CONCLUSIONS: Both BNP and noninvasive hemodynamic monitoring can be utilized in the cardiac rehabilitation outpatient setting and seem to mirror the favorable response to exercise of other functional tests.

Reconfirmation algorithms should be the standard of care in automated external defibrillators.

Non-sustained and self-terminating arrhythmias pose a significant challenge during resuscitation. Delivery of a defibrillation shock to a non-shockable rhythm has a poorly understood effect on the heart. The importance of assessing rhythm right up until the delivery of a shock is of increased importance when "blind" shocks are being delivered by automatic defibrillators or minimally trained rescuers. Reconfirmation algorithms are common in current-generation implantable defibrillators but this investigation of current-generation AEDs shows that only 71% of devices presently available have reconfirmation algorithms. A case of spontaneous reversion of a non-sustained arrhythmia is presented. The implications of delivering a defibrillator shock to a non-shockable rhythm are discussed.

Biphasic and monophasic shocks for transthoracic defibrillation: a meta analysis of randomised controlled trials.

INTRODUCTION: Biphasic waveforms are routinely used for implantable defibrillators. These waveforms have been less readily adopted for external defibrillation. This study was performed in order to evaluate the efficacy and harms of biphasic waveforms over monophasic waveforms for the transthoracic defibrillation of patients in ventricular fibrillation (VF) or haemodynamically unstable ventricular tachycardia. METHODS: Studies included randomised controlled trials comparing monophasic and biphasic external defibrillation for participants with VF or hemodynamically unstable ventricular tachycardia. Seven trials (1129 patients) were included in the analysis. All trials were conducted during electrophysiology procedures or implantable cardioverter/defibrillator testing. RESULTS: Compared with 200 J monophasic shocks, 200 J biphasic shocks reduced the risk of post-first shock asystole or persistent VF by 81% (relative risk (RR) 0.19; 95% confidence intervals (CI) 0.06-0.60) for the first shock. Reducing the energy of the biphasic waveform to 115-130 J resulted in similar effectiveness compared with the monophasic waveform at 200 J (RR 1.07, CI 0.66-1.74). Low energy biphasic shocks produce less myocardial injury than higher energy monophasic shocks as determined by ST segment deflection after shock. CONCLUSIONS: Biphasic waveforms defibrillate with similar efficacy at lower energies than standard 200 J monophasic waveforms, and greater efficacy than monophasic shocks of the same energy. Available data suggests that lower delivered energy and voltage result in less post-shock myocardial injury.

Towards new models of cardiopulmonary resuscitation teaching: the role of practical scenario training on surf lifesavers' perceptions of resuscitation efficacy.

INTRODUCTION: Surf lifesavers in Australia undertake numerous resuscitation scenarios in the course of their training and examination. The standard teaching and examination strategy is for the scenario to end with return of spontaneous circulation (ROSC) and then breathing. This study was performed to assess the effect of this training technique on lifesavers' expectation of successful resuscitation and to determine the effect of experience on these expectations. METHODS: Participants were lifesavers from Surf Life Saving Sydney Northern Beaches (SLSSNB). Data was collected by questionnaire. Questionnaires were applied to newly qualified lifesavers, a random sample of patrolling lifesavers and a strategic group of lifesavers with extensive experience in resuscitation. Anticipation of ROSC was recorded on a visual analogue scale (VAS). RESULTS: The mean VAS for the expected likelihood of successful resuscitation was 55.0+/-19.2% (95% CI: 51.3-58.6%). Published rates of ROSC range from 9 to 36.4%. Nearly 80% of our respondents expected better than 36.4% chance of ROSC. There was no difference in anticipation of ROSC between the three groups (F=0.41; 2,99df; P=0.67). Time since learning cardiopulmonary resuscitation (CPR) did not affect the expectancy of ROSC (F=0.92; 5,101df; P=0.47). Similarly, the number of resuscitations performed by an individual did not affect anticipation of successful outcome (F=0.13; 3,102df; P=0.94). CONCLUSIONS: Surf lifesavers in the Sydney Northern Beaches branch have an exaggerated expectation of the chances of successful CPR following cardiac arrest. This expectation did not change with time since learning CPR or participation in actual resuscitations. New models for CPR education need to be investigated.